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Red101
87512.7
93627.7
Blue5
51311.7
7651.8
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4014060801001201401015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
936
Unranked
27.74.4
27.732.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
513
Unranked
11.74.4
12.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
875
Unranked
12.74.4
12.617.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
765
Unranked
1.84.4
1.9-2.5
Auto
Teleop
End