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Red57
29233.7
37838.7
Blue3
6728.7
17333.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7164050100150200573

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
Unranked
38.70.6
38.138.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
173
Unranked
33.80.6
34.433.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
292
Unranked
33.70.6
32.733.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
67
Unranked
28.70.6
29.829.2
Auto
Teleop
End