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Red45
29233.7
30238.7
Blue2
6728.7
18034.3
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72640204080100120140160452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
Unranked
38.70.4
38.338.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
180
Unranked
34.30.4
34.734.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
292
Unranked
33.70.4
33.233.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
67
Unranked
28.70.4
29.228.7
Auto
Teleop
End