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Red70
65135.4
53820.2
Blue26
54924.2
87110.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53300204060801001207026

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
651
Unranked
35.40.8
33.534.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
549
Unranked
24.20.9
22.922.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
538
Unranked
20.21.2
19.520.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
871
Unranked
10.91.0
7.56.5
Auto
Teleop
End