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Red39
30238.7
95726.4
Blue59
24721.2
52549.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635902040801001201403959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
Unranked
38.70.9
35.534.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
525
Unranked
49.01.3
39.140.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
957
Unranked
26.41.1
27.726.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
247
Unranked
21.20.9
20.020.9
Auto
Teleop
End