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Red33
38817.5
117-2.1
Blue58
22415.7
20420.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2434060801001201403358

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
388
Unranked
17.50.9
22.621.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
204
Unranked
20.60.6
20.921.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
117
Unranked
-2.10.7
1.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.8
224
Unranked
15.70.6
12.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End