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Red7
9916.9
8827.2
Blue40
12826.5
95726.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41510206080100120140160740

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
Unranked
27.20.9
29.328.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
128
Unranked
26.50.9
27.027.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
991
Unranked
6.90.9
11.710.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.4
957
Unranked
26.40.9
23.824.7
Auto
Teleop
End