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Red70
58728.7
81113.1
Blue53
22415.7
50118.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403202060801001207053

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
Unranked
28.70.4
27.027.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
501
Unranked
18.20.3
18.818.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
811
Unranked
13.10.3
13.413.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
224
Unranked
15.70.3
13.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End