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Red43
21314.9
31130.1
Blue11
111419.1
62425.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434202060804311

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
311
Unranked
30.11.3
28.830.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
624
Unranked
25.51.3
24.923.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
213
Unranked
14.91.3
11.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
1114
Unranked
19.11.3
19.017.6
Auto
Teleop
End