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Red48
25436.9
56317.5
Blue21
9916.9
7310.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5426040801001201404821

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
36.90.0
35.935.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.2
73
Unranked
10.70.0
15.115.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
563
Unranked
17.50.0
17.817.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
991
Unranked
6.90.0
10.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End