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Red82
52549.0
58728.7
Blue5
46017.4
19235.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7150020406080100120140825

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
Unranked
49.02.3
43.746.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
192
Unranked
35.12.1
34.732.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
587
Unranked
28.72.5
27.530.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
460
Unranked
17.42.1
15.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End