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Red106
5843.9
23622.9
Blue26
9516.7
50115.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63330208010012014010626

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
Unranked
43.90.8
42.142.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.2
95
Unranked
16.70.8
17.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
236
Unranked
22.90.8
21.021.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
501
Unranked
15.30.8
16.015.2
Auto
Teleop
End