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Red63
5843.9
23622.9
Blue5
13131.2
1906.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions653802080100120140635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
Unranked
43.90.5
42.843.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
131
Unranked
31.20.5
31.731.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
236
Unranked
22.90.5
21.822.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.8
190
Unranked
6.20.5
6.66.2
Auto
Teleop
End