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Red35
46712.7
12524.2
Blue48
50016.5
88519.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422601001502003548

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
Unranked
24.21.8
19.818.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
885
Unranked
19.91.8
18.420.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
467
Unranked
12.71.8
22.420.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
500
Unranked
16.51.8
7.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End