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Red16
2468.4
9516.7
Blue67
28715.8
3196.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331504060801001201667

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
Unranked
16.73.4
20.817.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
287
Unranked
15.83.4
12.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
246
Unranked
8.43.4
11.88.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
319
Unranked
6.53.4
3.16.5
Auto
Teleop
End