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Red31
8821.4
7910.4
Blue62
23622.9
17229.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32490204060801001203162

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
Unranked
21.40.7
21.721.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
172
Unranked
29.60.7
29.029.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
79
Unranked
10.40.7
9.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
236
Unranked
22.90.7
20.321.0
Auto
Teleop
End