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Red34
1906.2
1152-3.4
Blue95
8821.4
50016.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332104060801001201403495

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
Unranked
6.24.6
23.018.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.2
88
Unranked
21.44.6
20.024.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1152
Unranked
-3.44.6
10.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.9
500
Unranked
16.54.6
0.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End