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Red20
7910.4
28715.8
Blue32
6938.8
16627.8
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325902040801001201401602032

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
Unranked
15.80.9
18.719.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.1
69
Unranked
38.80.9
37.736.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
79
Unranked
10.40.9
13.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.4
166
Unranked
27.80.9
21.220.3
Auto
Teleop
End