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Red37
116115.3
28715.8
Blue69
11535.6
12616.4
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393302060801003769

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
Unranked
15.82.4
19.617.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
126
Unranked
16.42.4
24.426.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1161
Unranked
15.32.4
19.317.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
1153
Unranked
5.62.4
8.811.2
Auto
Teleop
End