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Red49
15726.6
1409.8
Blue36
56224.3
21315.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344502060801001201401604936

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
26.61.5
21.723.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
562
Unranked
24.31.5
25.924.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
140
Unranked
9.81.5
12.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
213
Unranked
15.21.5
19.417.8
Auto
Teleop
End