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Red45
1345.5
16627.8
Blue61
35840.4
21315.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3755020801001201404561

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
Unranked
27.80.1
30.730.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
358
Unranked
40.40.1
35.935.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
134
Unranked
5.50.1
6.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
213
Unranked
15.20.1
18.718.6
Auto
Teleop
End