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Red49
88519.9
9735.7
Blue10
29620.9
13833.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535901001502004910

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97
Unranked
35.72.4
35.437.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
138
Unranked
33.72.4
32.530.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
885
Unranked
19.92.4
17.820.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
296
Unranked
20.92.4
26.524.1
Auto
Teleop
End