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Red31
8821.4
1906.2
Blue64
50115.3
17521.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363502060801001203164

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
Unranked
21.41.9
23.521.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
175
Unranked
21.01.9
20.922.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
190
Unranked
6.21.9
12.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
501
Unranked
15.31.9
13.815.7
Auto
Teleop
End