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Red45
12616.4
12133.1
Blue89
5843.9
2468.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524701001502004589

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
33.12.7
37.634.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
58
Unranked
43.92.7
37.740.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
126
Unranked
16.42.7
14.812.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
246
Unranked
8.42.7
9.111.8
Auto
Teleop
End