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Red39
3717.3
20317.9
Blue41
17412.9
63718.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253204060801001201401603941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
Unranked
17.90.3
17.617.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
637
Unranked
18.10.3
19.018.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
371
Unranked
7.30.3
7.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
174
Unranked
12.90.2
13.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End