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Red35
68626.6
3817.9
Blue60
7517.2
3019.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36341020304050603560

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
Unranked
26.61.0
27.726.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
30
Unranked
19.21.0
18.519.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
381
Unranked
7.91.0
8.87.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
75
Unranked
17.21.4
15.416.8
Auto
Teleop
End