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Red20
115612.6
7146.0
Blue109
71634.5
6132.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263005010015020025030035040020109

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
Unranked
12.65.3
17.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.9
716
Unranked
34.53.2
29.532.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
714
Unranked
6.03.2
8.25.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
613
Unranked
2.85.3
0.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End