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Red45
1111.3
3717.3
Blue48
108919.9
8961.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261704060804548

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
Unranked
11.30.8
14.513.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
1089
Unranked
19.90.8
22.723.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
371
Unranked
7.30.8
11.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
896
Unranked
1.40.8
-5.9-5.1
Auto
Teleop
End