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Red65
33412.5
12113.8
Blue6
64012.0
123716.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17340406080100120656

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
334
Unranked
12.54.7
11.716.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1237
Unranked
16.64.7
18.413.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1211
Unranked
3.84.7
5.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
640
Unranked
12.04.7
15.410.7
Auto
Teleop
End