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Red67
69424.4
59635.8
Blue6
333-13.8
3696.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions519020406080100120140676

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
596
Unranked
35.80.7
30.130.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.5
369
Unranked
6.41.2
11.810.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
694
Unranked
24.41.2
20.721.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 38.2
333
Unranked
-13.80.7
-2.7-3.4
Auto
Teleop
End