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Red52
38219.3
54129.4
Blue4
10304.3
101524.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32370206080100120140160524

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
541
Unranked
29.43.3
16.920.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
1015
Unranked
24.53.3
24.020.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
382
Unranked
19.33.3
15.318.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
1030
Unranked
4.33.3
12.69.4
Auto
Teleop
End