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Red9
27410.1
6326.9
Blue92
100118.4
14126.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43390206080100120140160992

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63
Unranked
26.95.4
29.423.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
141
Unranked
26.15.4
22.728.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
274
Unranked
10.15.4
13.58.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
1001
Unranked
18.45.4
16.021.5
Auto
Teleop
End