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Red69
5788.9
22623.5
Blue9
37918.2
96417.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34341020304050699

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
Unranked
23.53.7
16.019.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
379
Unranked
18.23.7
18.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
578
Unranked
8.93.7
17.721.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
964
Unranked
17.13.7
15.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End