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Red53
97012.4
46933.6
Blue7
90228.5
120416.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45430206080100537

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
33.62.8
29.832.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
902
Unranked
28.52.8
23.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
970
Unranked
12.42.8
14.717.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
1204
Unranked
16.32.8
20.217.4
Auto
Teleop
End