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Red58
3322.9
14418.0
Blue15
57312.0
11223.1
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31310102040506070805815

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
Unranked
22.92.8
22.224.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
573
Unranked
12.02.8
18.916.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
144
Unranked
18.02.8
8.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
1122
Unranked
3.12.8
12.710.0
Auto
Teleop
End