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Red100
64217.8
34023.4
Blue12
27611.3
88312.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3930020608010012010012

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
Unranked
23.45.0
22.026.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
883
Unranked
12.05.0
12.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
642
Unranked
17.85.0
17.122.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
276
Unranked
11.35.0
18.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End