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Red9
61022.9
84926.1
Blue14
122914.9
18831.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49410100150200250914

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
849
Unranked
26.10.8
23.923.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
188
Unranked
31.50.8
28.028.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
610
Unranked
22.90.8
24.723.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
1229
Unranked
14.90.8
13.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End