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Red61
8862.7
82029.0
Blue85
75216.7
23523.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39400102030506070806185

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
820
Unranked
29.01.5
25.123.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
235
Unranked
23.81.5
18.019.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
886
Unranked
2.71.5
14.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
752
Unranked
16.71.5
21.222.7
Auto
Teleop
End