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Red20
121910.2
85418.5
Blue4
9147.5
108412.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3223050100150200250300204

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
Unranked
18.50.4
15.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1084
Unranked
12.20.4
14.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1219
Unranked
10.20.4
16.717.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
914
Unranked
7.50.4
8.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End