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Red30
78322.4
77118.3
Blue39
61022.9
112911.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414402060801003039

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
783
Unranked
22.40.3
21.521.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
610
Unranked
22.90.4
25.626.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
771
Unranked
18.30.4
19.519.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
1129
Unranked
11.50.4
18.318.7
Auto
Teleop
End