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Red61
30641.6
111216.4
Blue7
12325.3
122118.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57270100150617

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
306
Unranked
41.60.9
41.942.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.0
1221
Unranked
18.61.4
20.018.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1112
Unranked
16.41.4
15.016.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
1232
Unranked
5.31.4
6.75.3
Auto
Teleop
End