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Red21
652-5.1
103626.9
Blue3
8862.7
84325.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20310406080100120213

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1036
Unranked
26.91.7
26.227.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
843
Unranked
25.01.7
26.725.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
652
Unranked
-5.11.1
-6.2-5.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
886
Unranked
2.71.7
4.42.7
Auto
Teleop
End