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Red72
20420.9
48629.3
Blue6
8728.9
22221.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4952020406080100120726

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
Unranked
29.30.9
28.629.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
87
Unranked
28.90.9
29.628.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
204
Unranked
20.90.9
20.020.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
222
Unranked
21.60.9
22.221.4
Auto
Teleop
End