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Red9
36529.1
52249.9
Blue59
111327.8
23016.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions814302060100120140160959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
522
Unranked
49.91.1
51.049.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.1
1113
Unranked
27.81.5
28.129.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
365
Unranked
29.11.1
30.229.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
230
Unranked
16.41.1
15.316.4
Auto
Teleop
End