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Red2
36529.1
34122.2
Blue59
111327.8
69424.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5452020406080100120259

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
29.10.7
30.930.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1113
Unranked
27.81.0
27.128.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
Unranked
22.20.7
22.922.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
694
Unranked
24.50.7
25.125.9
Auto
Teleop
End