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Red39
5618.3
9634.0
Blue12
20420.9
121842.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516402040801001201403912

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96
Unranked
34.00.5
33.534.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
1218
Unranked
42.70.5
43.543.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
56
Unranked
18.30.5
17.818.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
204
Unranked
20.90.5
20.520.0
Auto
Teleop
End