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Red41
5618.3
48428.8
Blue65
20420.9
48629.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47490204060801004165

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
Unranked
28.80.3
29.128.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
486
Unranked
29.30.3
28.528.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
56
Unranked
18.30.3
18.117.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
204
Unranked
20.90.3
20.320.5
Auto
Teleop
End