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Red13
5617.9
48629.3
Blue61
81621.4
3810.6
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533501001502002501361

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
Unranked
29.33.9
33.029.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
816
Unranked
21.43.0
18.421.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
561
Unranked
7.94.1
20.516.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
381
Unranked
0.64.1
16.821.0
Auto
Teleop
End