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Red62
12528.3
111327.8
Blue89
1451.4
34122.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40410102030506070806289

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
Unranked
28.31.4
24.222.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
341
Unranked
22.21.8
20.222.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1113
Unranked
27.811.5
27.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.4
145
Unranked
1.41.9
18.520.5
Auto
Teleop
End