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Red53
31623.5
69424.5
Blue24
22221.6
12528.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524401001502005324

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
Unranked
24.50.8
25.726.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
125
Unranked
28.30.8
24.123.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
316
Unranked
23.51.0
26.727.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
222
Unranked
21.60.8
20.419.6
Auto
Teleop
End